Musings from a Retired Teacher turned writer. Eclectic, meandering, and not aligned with any organized school of thought. Or, organized anything.
Tuesday, October 26, 2021
Keep an Eye on This...
...it will be the Canary in the Mine case.
If the Justice Dept./SEC don't act to stop Google and Facebook's blatantly illegal actions - Google acting as a monopoly, and Facebook facilitating it - it will be clear to the Thinking Person that the USA is bought and paid for by Big Tech/Big Money.
Well, it HAS been, that's obvious (except to the Stupid/Left). But, I expect that the enforcement divisions of the Federal government and the SEC will promptly take all evidence, put it "Under Investigation", refuse to talk about it, as an ongoing case, and, eventually, deliver a Stinging Slap on the Wrist to the offending companies and their leadership. Perhaps with a token fine that amounts to less than 0.1% of a day's profit.
BAD company!
At that point, they will move into their "THAT is already adjudicated, and is yesterday's headline!" phase. A brief period during which prominent politicians carefully avoid taking DIRECT money from the offenders, then back to normal.
[That Direct Money thing? The companies will donate to "good works" as part of their "We're SO sorry, and here's some money to ease our 'conscience' schtick. That money will then trickle down to the politicians that it was always intended for, without DIRECTLY having their fingerprints on it. See the links to and from the Tides Foundation, on Discover the Left,which explains the laundering process.]
The main trouble with these complicated schemes is that the average person, hearing about them, has a MEGO Moment (My Eyes Glaze Over). It's not rocket science, which I actually know a little about, being a former physics teacher, but it requires sufficient attention and brain activity to follow a multi-step process (I would LOVE for the guy who wrote The Big Short to explain this, using a video presentation).
I am lucky enough that I actually took some business classes, including accounting, marketing - my professor included some basic stock market background, and I was interested enough to learn more, and business law. The UCC had just come out with a revision, so I had the textbook that included it. Much of it is actually readable and comprehensible - as many laws are, if you take the time to read them.
I got sufficient knowledge of the stock market and the SEC that I understood the basics. At least enough to realize, when Martha Stewart got indicted by the SEC, that she had been hit with a sketchy case, and, if not a celebrity, wouldn't have faced more than a small fine.
So, I have long been aware of the political dimensions to prosecution, and the extent to which the press would gladly cover it up, if they could just be fed the information ahead of other reporters, and get to cover a perp walk. That was during the Bush-Cheney administration, lest we forget that the Dims aren't the only villains here.
Monday, October 25, 2021
Hard Times Coming
- We're a BIG country. Our climates vary from near-tropical to Arctic. We have deserts, mountains, coastal - both North and South, each having their own challenges, and plains. Each region will face different challenges in coping with economic and governmental pressures.
- The shipping logjam is affecting many parts of the economy. But our biggest industry - food - is not generally on the coasts. The idiocy of CA in shutting off water to the CA farming communities means that they really don't have much of a food supply that isn't shipped in, either from Middle America, or overseas. They better treat their dairy farmers right, as that is one food industry that is still active.
- The Farmbelt is in more trouble than they realize. The recent push for China and Tech Giants to invest in farmland means that they will be highly mechanized, and they will likely not have enough people with the expertise to handle it. They better not expect that the farmers they bought off will come back, hat in hand, to beg for the opportunity to work land they formerly owned. Ain't gonna happen.
- If those high-tech machines break, they will be screwed - they won't have the parts to fix them, nor the people who've learned to work out ways to get the equipment working.
- China needs to get $$$$$ flowing for those investments; for the most part, Asians overpay for their land purchases. They have no clue that land is really cheap in the United States (except for those rarified enclaves that the extremely wealthy live in - and, yes, if you buy a $1 million+ house, you ARE wealthy - you just don't realize it). So, if the Chinese economy tanks - as seems likely at present - they will likely need to sell some of that land - at fire-sale prices. I wouldn't be surprised if some of the same families that sold the land buy it back, cheap.
- Weather patterns will affect the collapse. The North/Midwest/Upper West will experience the pinch first. My bones are telling me this is likely to be a BAD winter. If it is, we'll be in trouble by early January, at the latest. Fortunately, just a few months later, most of the USA gets into Spring thaw time. I'm expecting a MASSIVE RUN on seeds and home garden items at that time. I've already got a lot of my equipment and supplies stored away, and I'll be filling in the remainder by hitting yard sale/resale shop/Facebook Marketplace sales. FB Marketplace is fast replacing yard sales - I've bought some furniture, and it was a great experience.
- By summer, CA will be in trouble. They won't have that bail-out money to keep them going, temps will be miserable, and the state government will be their usual efficient selves. Don't be surprised if the first uprising happens there.
- The South will have a brutal time of it in the warmer months, should the electric supply be affected by fuel prices. I've lived there, and it is energy-sapping in that humidity, when the electricity goes out. I wouldn't be surprised that some uprisings happen - not in the truly poor areas, but urban, and encouraged/facilitated by the "revolutionaries". After all, many of the urban living spaces are dependent on AC. When that goes out, modern apartment buildings and offices can't just open windows. And, many of those areas are just about barren of trees, losing that natural source of protection from the sun. The country will be relatively OK, as country always is. When you're surrounded by trees/vegetation, you may be hot, but you're not likely to die from heat.
Saturday, October 23, 2021
Behind the Hype of China's Military Capability
I'm not gonna say it's IMPOSSIBLE that China does have a nuclear capability that is far above what we have in the USA.
But, it sure is unlikely.
Think about skirmishes on the China-India border in 2020-2021. Troops of both countries fought to defend their own country's claim to territory. As you can see from the video, it was a no-guns battle that showed how clubs, swords, and spears still have a use in border disputes (as they do in many neighborhood brawls).
Why no guns?
Neither China nor India want a "hot" war. Such a conflict level would be hugely damaging to their economies. Even though both countries have extensive land armies, they do not want that conflict to turn so kinetic as to trigger all-out war.
Now, with that in mind, I'm gonna go out on a limb and state that I don't believe China is eager for, nor prepared for, an actual war. The "news" about their hypersonic capabilities, and the belligerence they have recently shown towards both America, and their allies in the South Pacific, is merely designed to influence the Nervous Nellies in the Biden administration.
IRL, China is weak. They have real opposition, both with their own people, and with Taiwan and Hong Kong, as well. When protests start up, China will step in and threaten, use stealth methods for eliminating opponents, and use technological means to cut off communications. All of which can be done at little cost, and low risk of tipping off a kinetic action.
But, America's Left being, well, LEFT, the Biden-Harris administration will likely fold quickly, and put the USA in a bad position.
Same Old, Same Old.
Friday, October 22, 2021
Now, THAT'S What a Brave Athlete Looks Like
Can't wait to see him on the cover of Sports Illustrated!
/sarc
Thursday, October 21, 2021
Chinese Economic Disaster - How Will That Affect US?
The real estate market in China is THIRTY PERCENT of their GDP (Gross Domestic Product). That's HUGE. For comparison, the housing meltdown that was explained in The Big Short composed considerably less of our total economy. Currently, the real estate industry is a smidge over 22% of the GDP in the United States.
And, that is not including the heavy investment of the Chinese government into EVERY facet of the economy. It's safe to say that the margin of error is razor-thin in China - they cannot afford a meltdown of 1/3 of their economy.
The Chinese economy has, for some time, been heavily dependent on exports to the USA and other countries. They depend on the regular payments to keep their country afloat. The economic contraction of COVID was short, and largely offset by the boom China experienced when other 1st World economies cratered.
As so much of the stuff delivered by Amazon was from China, you might even say that they boosted their economy, while delivering a death blow to many American industries.
I was never all that terrified about the "sudden death" propaganda that was coming out in the early days of the COVID Terror. Sudden collapse in the streets? ONLY happened in China, and - amazingly - always seemed to be caught on camera.
But, the death rate, as measured by cremations, didn't fall in line with the scary reports. They just were not losing population in the numbers suggested by the reports. All of which makes me conclude that the virulence of COVID was largely a hoax. Except for the elderly and medically fragile, it was no more than a bad year's flu.
But, back to the Chinese economy. At the above link, one of the commenters posted a staggering statistic:
"To put things into perspective – Real Estate in the USA is worth about the sum total of the entire economy. Western European Real estate is worth about 1.2 times their entire economy.
Real Estate in China is valued at 12 TIMES the entire Chinese economy.
Their subprime collapse is literally going to be at a level that has never been scene in the history of the planet."
I knew that the Chinese Real Estate was overpriced, but this is at a level that will CRUSH China. I would not be surprised at a revolution (because, given that level of a cash flow crisis, there are going to be a LOT of unemployed government functionaries, including their military).
What does that mean for us?
Well, for a while, you are going to have trouble getting your high-tech toys (actual toys, as well as adult gadgets). Vehicle repairs are going to suffer, as will production of new cars, trucks, and farm and industrial equipment.
However, Americans are pretty handy, and I expect that - with a little Redneck engineering - they will manage to bypass the e-sensors and chip control of their vehicles. That will go a long way towards offsetting the damage caused by Chinese collapse.
India and other nearby economies will pick up some of the slack. American companies SHOULD take advantage of this to 'Build Back Better', but I would bet against that, given the hostile forces that have taken over the Federal government.
We will lose a major market for our food, but - what the hell - the world is filled with hungry people. We'll do all right, and should be able to ship overland to American markets with little difficulty. It will cost more, but we can pick up the slack and keep Americans eating 3 squares a day.
How about a new animation flick - The Incredibly Stoopids?
Tuesday, October 19, 2021
Once More, Into Data Analysis to Counter the Left
- What actually caused the outbreak - was it a natural event, or - as we have to consider these days - was it a manipulated or man-caused event?
- A man-caused event is not necessarily one that was created deliberately. It might include disease outbreaks that follow wars, for example. It might include outbreaks that follow politically-motivated reductions of food, or water shortages that follow re-direction of water sources (dam building, siphoning off of an aquifer without regard for normal water usage).
- Was this part of a politically motivated attack? Did a nation/region/power base simply take advantage of an already existing situation, and fail to take steps to damp down the outbreak?
- What steps will reduce incidence? Quarantine is not always the correct solution, but it may be ONE of the methods tried out. Others include looking at sanitation, testing the water supply, and examining the nursing of the ill and disposal of bodies (that last may account for the majority of Ebola spread, due to existing customs).
- What treatments will affect the outcome/duration? Simple good home nursing is a major factor in recovery from many major illnesses:
- Isolate the affected separately in the home, if possible.
- Those that tend the sick wash their hands and clothing after being in contact with them - yes, I know this is an impossible standard for most of the world.
- Nourishing food and clean water for the ill AND their families.
- Watch the patients to keep their fevers from exceeding a few degrees - administer cool compresses as needed. Watch use of aspirin for extended periods of time - that can lead to other problems. Alcohol rubs in moderation - they work, but the alcohol can also be absorbed through the skin, a problem with the elderly, particularly if thin, and with children.
- Clean up bodily soiling, both in patient and those who provide care. Dispose of waste carefully.
- For many, time and rest are significant factors in healing. Don't rush people back to work or school.
Monday, October 11, 2021
Manufacturing Consent
Tuesday, October 5, 2021
High Tide is Here - and it Will Continue Until it Floods the Job Market
- Not being able to quickly plan out trips - I have no knowledge of where things might be found. Several times, I traveled to a store, only to find out that it is now closed - often, a 'COVID casualty'.
- Fatigue - I'm not sleeping well. When I do get up, I'm often still tired.
- The weather is playing hell with my joints. Today is the first day that I haven't been in major pain.
Friday, October 1, 2021
Waving the Bloody Shirt
It's a long tradition in American politics - in fact, it was used in the immediate aftermath of the Civil War (mostly by Republicans, although by Democrats, as well), and only stopped because the North needed Southern votes to avoid a stalemate. In that instance, the North could not get sufficient votes to elect a president - Rutherford Hayes. The South shrewdly played politics, and only agreed to permit the electoral college to declare a clear 'winner' when the North agreed to end Reconstruction.
The Left/Progressives/Dems are using the Alleged Insurrection as a Bloody Shirt (ironically, the only death due to enemy action - as opposed to from medical issues - was that of the Pro-Trump Ashli Babbitt, who was gunned down in cold blood by Michael Leroy Byrd, a Capitol Police officer).
But, the facts won't stop the transparent attempts to whip up partisan hysteria. The Left has declared that the "Insurrection" was a violent attack on the Dems, and, like the Captain of Star Trek, they have waved their hands and declared, "Make it so."
The complete collapse of any pretense of abiding by long-established rules of Congress, the Judicial branch, and the Executive branch is accelerating. People are trying to avoid seeing what is plainly before them, and focusing on other things - ANY other thing - to avoid a terrible choice:
Either make a stand NOW, or live as a slave forever.